Date: 10 July, 2012
Time: 04:31 Emirate time
A methodologist, Vladimir Mackiewicz, pointed out that the collapse of Russia would be just a logical continuation of the collapse of the Soviet Union. Mr. Mackiewicz identified a number of factors, which were characteristic for the collapse of the Soviet Union and are relevant to current Putin's Russia.
One of the factors was the democratization of the society. It was a kind of uprising in some regions that have started to think on their own, and not Moscow's, interests. Another factor could become the collapse of the administrative models.
"If we look into which regions the Soviet Union collapsed, we can see that it broke apart into the Union republics which were the largest administrative units in the Soviet Union, i.e. it collapsed according to available patterns", said Mackiewicz.
Given the fact that Russia is a federation, which includes a lot of administrative units, this factor is also relevant for Russia.
According to the specialist on the collapse, one more factor is a subjective one. This means that we need someone who will initiate the separatist movement, Mr. Mackiewicz said.
Department of Monitoring